Wednesday, July 1, 2009

INFLATION The Ugly Side of Obama's Spending

With all the hoopla and manufactured sense of urgency from the Obama administration, main street seems to be forgetting the ugly side effect of massive government spending programs. INFLATION! While the Democrats are so busy patting each other on the back over their bank, auto and insurance bailouts, their greenhouse gas reduction plans and the looming health care reform, what will they really have accomplished. If you make peoples lives better through health care reform and, at the same time, create skyrocketing inflation on everything else, in my opinion you've accomplished nothing. As soon as government spending kicks in, demand for oil and other commodities will see major increases leading to higher prices. At the same time, new debt to fund these programs will lead to a weakening dollar causing prices to go up even more. If they are truly interested in helping the poor and middle class, how can they possibly justify passing legislation that will ultimately lead to more taxes and higher prices? The only conclusion I can draw from what I've seen so far is, the current administration could care less about the people of main street.

I'm sure they'd argue, we needed to save the banks, the major auto manufacturers and AIG. As far as global warming goes, I'm still not convinced that it isn't a naturally occurring phenomena, nature's way of re-balancing the planet. Even if I'm wrong, which is entirely possible, scientists have already stated that unilateral implementation of green house gas controls by the United States may have marginal to no effect on global warming. Don't get me wrong, I'm all for solar and wind energy and reducing pollutants in our atmosphere, I just don't think we need to destroy our economy to do it. I think more can be accomplished by grass roots programs. Getting people to think more about recycling, cutting back on energy usage, switching to more efficient appliances and lighting would make a tremendous difference in our carbon footprint as a nation. We don't need ever expanding government to implement more control over our lives or to burden us with more taxes.

I know there are people who will read this and say "your no expert." That is entirely true, but you don't have to look to far to see what the experts are saying about coming inflation. The July issue of Smart Money magazine has an interesting article entitled "Stocks That Beat Inflation." In it, they quote George Schwartz, head of the Ave Maria Catholic Values fund, as saying, "You can't run the printing press and spend like drunken sailors without consequences." They also say in the article, "a small but growing number of investment pros are betting inflation will return much faster than the conventional wisdom anticipates, and when it does, it will be far more widespread and potent than we've seen in years."

Lastly, when Roosevelt's administration passed legislation, similar to the current administration, it did not end the Great Depression. The economy never fully recovered from the depression until World War II. So if it didn't work then, why should we expect it to work now.

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